Skip to main content

Can the P5+1's Vienna Deal Prevent an Iranian Nuclear Breakout? Senator Tom Cotton and Middle East scholars weigh in

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signed earlier this month in Vienna is the culmination of a longstanding Obama administration effort to resolve the international community’s nuclear standoff with Iran through diplomatic means. A host of serious questions surround the agreement, including the complexities of international law and politics necessary to enact its provisions, and the strategic calculations that Iran’s regional rivals will make in its aftermath. But the key question remains the most practical one: Will the JCPOA, advanced by its proponents as a far-reaching and robust arms agreement, actually prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon?

Can the JCPOA’s inspection and verification regime, which allows Iran a 24-day window to prepare – or “sanitize”—any suspected site for on-site review, provide an effective guarantee against violations? What will it mean when the JCPOA expires in 15 years under the “sunset clause” and Iran becomes a “normal” nuclear power? And how, in the meantime, will the deal’s removal of existing sanctions against currently designated terrorists and terror-connected entities – like the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Qassem Suleimani, commander of IRGC’s expeditionary unit, the Quds Force – complicate efforts to constrain Sunni Arab states from pursuing nuclear arms programs of their own?

On July 28, Hudson Institute hosted a timely conversation on the Iran nuclear deal with Senator Tom Cotton and a panel of leading experts including William Tobey of Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and Hudson Senior Fellows Michael Doran, Hillel Fradkin, and Lee Smith.

Click here to read Sen. Cotton’s remarks.

Panel

Senator Tom Cotton Keynote Speaker

U.S. Senator from Arkansas

Michael Doran Speaker

Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute

William Tobey Speaker

Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

Hillel Fradkin Speaker

Senior Fellow & Director, Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World, Hudson Institute

Lee Smith Moderator

Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute

Experts

Related Events

Geostrategic Ramifications of the Crisis in Turkey

Are Plutocrats Drowning Our Republic? July 21st Event with The American Interest