Skip to main content

Global Insights: Russia Gambling That Ukraine Crisis Can Revert to Familiar Script

Richard Weitz

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is an accomplished fact, but many questions remain unanswered regarding the crisis. Perhaps the most important of these are how far Russia will go, what steps the West can take to resist Russian belligerence and what economic consequences will ensue from Russia’s actions.

Thus far, Russian forces have only occupied the Crimean peninsula. While it is possible they will go no farther, it remains unclear under what conditions Russian troops would end their occupation. Moscow might decide to occupy the region for a while simply to pry various concessions from Kiev, such as a pledge to respect the rights of Russian citizens in Ukraine—the declared purpose of Moscow’s military move—or, more ambitiously, to secure guarantees that Ukraine will not join the European Union or NATO. But the Kremlin could best keep Ukraine out of these institutions by occupying Crimea indefinitely, since both institutions normally require that prospective members resolve all their territorial disputes before accession.

Click here to read the full article.

Related Articles

Trump vs. 'Lying, Disgusting' Media

Gabriel Schoenfeld

Espionage laws could mean trouble for journalists under the new president....

Continue Reading

Russia Questions for Rex Tillerson

David Satter

New revelations about an opposition leader’s murder and bombings in Boston and Russia....

Continue Reading

Some Thoughts on the Trump News Bombshell

Walter Russell Mead

This event is deeply damaging to the country and its institutions in the short run. Don’t for a second think that Putin is unhappy by this latest turn...

Continue Reading