Skip to main content
Why Trump Is Raising Tariffs on China
China's key stock indices plunged more than five percent on May 6 after US President Donald Trump threatened to hike tariffs on Chinese imports. (ANTHONY WALLACE/Getty Images)
(Getty Images)

Why Trump Is Raising Tariffs on China

Michael Pillsbury

Are prospects for a U.S.-China trade deal fading? That was the conventional interpretation of President Trump’s Sunday tweet, in which he said he’d raise tariffs from 10% to 25% on $200 billion of Chinese exports at the end of this week. Mr. Trump’s announcement shocked China’s leaders because they underestimated the strength of American hawks’ influence, just as Americans once underestimated the influence of Chinese hawks. But the president’s tough line now—heading into the final stretch of negotiations—will reduce friction later. China is less likely to cheat on any future agreement if it needs to comply to earn a reduction of these tariffs. China will cheat if the U.S. has no tariffs to enforce it.

As trade watchers around the world armchair-quarterback this week’s negotiations, it’s useful to assess the likelihood of success in each key area of the deal to determine whether it has indeed fallen apart.

Read the full article in the Wall Street Journal here

Related Articles

The State of Religious Liberty in China

Nina Shea

A discussion on the persecution of Christians and other religious minorities, the widespread use of technology, and how the U.S. can leverage their tr...

Continue Reading

Transcript: U.S.-Indonesia Relations at 70: History, Policy, and the Future

Patrick M. Cronin

Full transcript of the July 9, 2019 Hudson event titled "U.S.-Indonesia Relations at 70: History, Policy, and the Future"...

Continue Reading

North Korea Threatens South Korea Over F35 jets

Patrick M. Cronin

In an interview on CNN, Patrick Cronin discussed North Korea's recent threats towards its southern neighbor in light of South Korea's acquisition of F...

Watch Now