Skip to main content
Don’t Let Turkey Defect to Russia
Recep Tayyip Erdogan, President of Turkey, meets German Foreign Minister on September 05, 2018 in Ankara, Turkey. (Inga Kjer/Getty Images)
(Getty Images)

Don’t Let Turkey Defect to Russia

Walter Russell Mead

As Europe moved toward war in the summer of 1914, two battleships were being built for the Ottoman Empire in British shipyards. Worried about signs of an Ottoman-German alliance, Winston Churchill, then first lord of the admiralty, seized the ships. Germany then sent two ships of its own as replacements. By October, the Ottomans were at war with the Allies.

Today’s crisis with Turkey over Russian weapons could be as consequential. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s decision to import the S-400 antiaircraft system, designed to shoot down the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s airplanes, is a fundamental challenge to the West. Mr. Erdogan’s move to drill for natural gas in Cyprus’s waters has also driven a wedge between Turkey and its erstwhile allies, with the European Union now looking to cut funding to Turkey.

Ankara is likely to lose access to the coveted American-made F-35 aircraft which, like the British ships in 1914, have been paid for but not delivered. The Trump administration is also required by law to impose economic sanctions on Turkey in response to its Russian weapons purchase, though it can choose from options ranging in severity. The Turkish economy is already shrinking, with inflation at nearly 16% and unemployment at 14%. Even mild sanctions could spook investors and send the lira and stock market into free fall.

Read the full article in the Wall Street Journal here

Related Articles

Trump Should Address the Nation About Winning the China Challenge

Rebeccah L. Heinrichs

The COVID-19 pandemic has thrown the China challenge into fuller view. A new Pew Research poll shows...

Continue Reading

Russia Flouts Another Treaty. So We're Leaving It.

Tim Morrison

Arms control treaties can be a powerful national security tool. But too often arms control proponents — those who seek to control weapons by agreeme...

Continue Reading

The Realignment Ep. 34: Heather Long, The COVID-19 Economy Part II

Saagar Enjeti & Marshall Kosloff

Washington Post economics correspondent Heather Long joins The Realignment to unpack impact of COVID-19 on the labor market. iframe#1 **Sub...

Listen Now