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Commentary
Wall Street Journal

Trump’s Unpredictability Has Costs, Too

He gains flexibility at the price of public persuasion and strategic coherence.
 

walter_russell_mead
walter_russell_mead
Ravenel B. Curry III Distinguished Fellow in Strategy and Statesmanship
Walter Russell Mead
China’s President Xi Jinping, North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un, and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin arrive for a reception in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on September 3, 2025. (Getty Images)
Caption
China’s President Xi Jinping, North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un, and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin arrive for a reception in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on September 3, 2025. (Getty Images)

My grandfather was an irritating bridge player. Avoiding dramatic and attention-grabbing high-risk bids, he worked on what he called the creep system, inching toward his goals by winning one boring low-bid hand after another. Lately, America’s adversaries seem to be taking a leaf out of his book. Even as they step up their campaign against American power, the revisionist axis of China, Russia, Iran and North Korea seeks to avoid triggering moments like the Pearl Harbor attack, which roused the American people to the heroic efforts and sacrifices that won World War II.

The strategy has brought them some successes. China, Russia, Iran and North Korea are cooperating with one another more effectively than ever. Even as war materiel and North Korean soldiers flow across Eurasia to support Russia’s war on Ukraine, information and technological breakthroughs flow back, preparing Chinese and North Korean military leaders for the new age of war. Similarly, Iranian drones helped Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine, and access to Russian technology and intelligence is helping Iran in its war against the U.S.

Read in The Wall Street Journal.