On NatSec Matters, Michael Doran discusses the outlook for United States–Israeli attacks on Iran, explaining how internal power dynamics within the Iranian regime shape prospects for negotiations to de-escalate or end the conflict. He also examines the diverging interests of Israeli and American leaders, the influence of Iran’s ethnic groups on potential outcomes, and why he believes a citizen-led uprising to topple the government is unlikely.
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Migrants storm a barbed-wire fence as they attempt to cross the land border with Spain's African enclave of Ceuta near Fnideq in northern Morocco on September 15, 2024. (Getty Images)